General market news
- The 10-year Treasury yield opened at 3.19 percent early Monday, while the 30-year opened at 3.37 percent and the 2-year at 2.90 percent. The yield curve flattened last week. It is off its recent lows of late September but lower than the level seen after the Federal Reserve (Fed) raised rates a couple of weeks ago. With the Fed apparently ready to raise rates again in December, rate volatility is likely as the market attempts to balance economic growth and the effect of Fed action.
- U.S. equity markets were mixed last week, as investors favored more defensive investments. Not surprising, then, the more defensive Dow led the way for the three major U.S. markets, while the tech- and growth-oriented Nasdaq Composite Index lagged. Consumer staples, REITs, and utilities were among the top three performers. Consumer discretionary, energy, and materials were among the top laggards.
- After last week’s steep sell-off, earnings still remain strong at approximately 19.5 percent for the third quarter, per FactSet estimates. Although this result is a sign that strength remains for U.S. markets, China saw its gross domestic product (GDP) growth fall to 6.5 percent in the third quarter compared with 6.7 percent in the second quarter. The Chinese economy continues to take actions to promote growth, including lowering its reserve requirement ratio.
- Last week saw the release of only a handful of notable economic updates. On Monday, September’s retail sales data came in lower than expected, with 0.1-percent growth for the month. This follows several months of strong growth, so this is not an immediate concern but should be monitored.
- On Wednesday, both housing starts and building permits declined, as the slowdown in new housing growth continues.
- On Friday, existing home sales disappointed, falling 3.4 percent against expectations for a more modest loss of 0.9 percent.